BI
BioCardia, Inc. (BCDA)·Q2 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q2 2025 EPS was $(0.40) versus consensus of $(0.50), a beat of $0.10; revenue was $0 versus $0 consensus (in line). Sequentially, EPS improved from $(0.59) in Q1, driven by lower SG&A and modestly lower R&D . Consensus values marked with * were retrieved from S&P Global.
- Management highlighted near-term regulatory catalysts: Helix De Novo 510(k) submission targeted for Q3 2025, and CardiAMP HF clinical consultation with Japan PMDA mid‑Q4 2025; an FDA meeting request on CardiAMP is also planned for Q4 2025 .
- Cash was $0.98M at quarter-end; $0.77M raised via ATM post-quarter, bringing cash to ~$1.1M and runway into October 2025; management also “anticipates a financing in September” .
- Operational momentum: CardiAMP HF II confirmatory trial now has four sites actively enrolling with a fifth coming; Henry Ford Health initiated enrollment in July .
- Business development: Exclusive Heart3D Fusion Imaging partnership with CART‑Tech announced on Aug 13, expected to enhance image-guided cardiac biotherapeutic delivery; Helix positioned as potentially the first approved transendocardial biotherapeutic delivery system in the U.S. .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- EPS beat vs consensus: $(0.40) actual vs $(0.50)* expected, aided by lower SG&A and slightly lower R&D sequentially; Q2 SG&A $0.683M vs $1.196M in Q1, R&D $1.368M vs $1.530M in Q1 .
- Clinical/regulatory progress: PMDA consultation expected mid Q4, FDA meeting request in Q4, and Helix De Novo 510(k) submission targeted for Q3; CEO: “Our Helix has potential to be the first approved transendocardial biotherapeutic delivery system in the United States” .
- Trial execution: CardiAMP HF II actively enrolling at four sites with a fifth imminent; Henry Ford Health initiated enrollment, reinforcing site momentum .
What Went Wrong
- Year-over-year net loss widened: $(2.049)M in Q2 2025 vs $(1.646)M in Q2 2024, reflecting higher R&D (CardiAMP HF closeout and HF II start-up) .
- Cash remains constrained: $0.98M at 6/30; despite ATM proceeds, runway extends only into October and management signaled need for a September financing .
- No formal numeric revenue or margin guidance; company remains pre‑revenue with limited revenue visibility, and margins are not meaningful given zero collaboration revenue in Q2 .
Financial Results
Core P&L and Cash Metrics
Notes: Margins are not meaningful given de minimis revenue and pre‑commercial stage .
Actuals vs Consensus
Values with * retrieved from S&P Global. Surprises computed from cited actuals and S&P Global consensus.
Guidance Changes
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- CEO on strategic inflection: “Our Helix has potential to be the first approved transendocardial biotherapeutic delivery system in The United States… We remain interested in partnering this technology” .
- CEO on regulatory timelines: “If [PMDA] accept our positioning… meeting minutes could potentially end with ‘address the following questions in your application for approval’… process would take as much as a year” .
- CFO on runway and efficiency: “Sold $769,000 under our ATM facility… current cash balance approximately $1,100,000… runway into October… We will work hard to continue our track record of efficient use of resources” .
- CEO on financing: “We also anticipate a financing in September that we are working to have be a success for current shareholders” .
- Press release highlight: “Our active discussions on the approvability of the CardiAMP Cell Therapy System, as well the anticipated submission for approval of its dedicated Helix… have potential to be transformative” .
Q&A Highlights
- PMDA pathway and device vs biologic framework: Management emphasized autologous, point‑of‑care device path aligns with Japanese cultural and regulatory context; conditional approvals and post‑marketing studies possible .
- FDA interaction type and sequencing: Considering Breakthrough “Sprint” discussion; Helix De Novo submitted ahead of CardiAMP to streamline risk considerations .
- HF II trial logistics: Four centers enrolling; longer lead‑in to mitigate Hawthorne effect; all patients will have NT‑proBNP ≥500 pg/mL; potential to modify trial should FDA support therapy .
- Partnerships: Not on hold; active across Helix, Morph, and CardiALLO; CardiAMP distribution interest in Japan contingent on regulatory clarity .
- CMI (BCDA‑02) readout: Roll‑in cohort top‑line targeted for Q4; partnering interest may hinge on PMDA/FDA clarity .
Estimates Context
- Q2 2025: EPS $(0.40) vs $(0.50)* consensus (beat $0.10); revenue $0 vs $0.0* consensus (in line). Q1 2025: EPS $(0.59) vs $(0.39)* consensus (miss $0.20); revenue not estimated*/N/A .
- Implication: Sequential expense discipline improved EPS in Q2; estimate revisions likely to focus on operating expense run-rate and timing of financing and regulatory milestones.
Values with * retrieved from S&P Global.
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Near-term catalysts: Helix De Novo 510(k) submission (Q3), PMDA clinical consultation (mid‑Q4), FDA meeting request for CardiAMP (Q4), and a September financing; each can move the stock .
- Clinical momentum: HF II trial enrollment is ramping; Medicare reimbursement ($17,500 per procedure) offsets R&D study costs, aiding capital efficiency .
- Liquidity watch: Post‑ATM cash of ~$1.1M extends runway into October, but a financing is expected; size/terms will be critical for dilution and execution capacity .
- Platform leverage: Heart3D Fusion Imaging partnership and Helix/Morph platforms create optionality via partnering and potential future revenue streams independent of CardiAMP timelines .
- Regulatory narrative: Autologous, device‑regulated approach may align well with PMDA; subgroup significance (elevated NT‑proBNP) and confirmatory HF II design support potential U.S. pathway .
- Expense trajectory: R&D to rise modestly in 2025; SG&A to track 2024 levels—model operating burn accordingly .
- Trading lens: EPS beat and clearer regulatory timelines are positives; financing overhang and cash constraints are key risks—monitor September raise and Q3/Q4 milestones for catalysts .
Appendices
Selected Program and Milestone Disclosures
- Anticipated milestones: HF manuscript (Q4 2025); PMDA clinical review (Q4 2025); FDA meetings (Q4 2025); HF II enrollment ongoing; CMI roll‑in top line (Q4 2025); CardiALLO non‑dilutive funding (Q1 2026); Helix FDA submission (Q3 2025) .
- CardiALLO Phase 1/2 low-dose cohort completed with DSMB recommending proceed; no treatment‑emergent adverse events observed in low dose cohort .
- IP: U.S. Patent No. 12,311,127 granted for “Radial and Trans‑endocardial Delivery Catheter” .